Realised outcomes
Closed-loop calibration. Log every buy, listing, and sale here so the model can learn what its predictions are actually worth.
+ Log a new outcome↓ csvfilter:allmagicpokemon
Open positions
0
0 total logged
Capital deployed
A$0
Realised profit
A$0
0 closed sales
Predicted profit
A$0
model said
Avg realised ROI
—
vs predicted —
Automated paper-trade summary (latest run per model)
Daily cron pairs each engine pick with subsequent eBay AU sold + buylist offers within a 60-day forward window. No operator action required — this is the shadow-window automated validation. v1 = arb_opportunities (legacy engine output), v2 = arb_predictions (Bayesian rebuild, tagged by inference_model_version). Realised % climbs as the forward window matures (~30-60d per cohort).
| Source | Model version | Run at | N total | Realised % | Hit rate | Capital A$ | Total PnL A$ | Mean PnL A$ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| v2 | v1.1-magic-tier3-2026-05-16T0144Z | 2026-05-16 05:00 | 200 | 0% (0/200) | — | A$7,554 | +A$0 | — |
| v2 | v1.1-magic-tier3-2026-05-16T0320Z | 2026-05-16 05:00 | 200 | 0% (0/200) | — | A$2,591 | +A$0 | — |
| v2 | v1.1-pokemon-tier3-2026-05-16T0145Z | 2026-05-16 05:00 | 36 | 0% (0/36) | — | A$3,996 | +A$0 | — |
| v2 | v1.1-pokemon-tier3-2026-05-16T0423Z | 2026-05-16 05:00 | 18 | 0% (0/18) | — | A$1,998 | +A$0 | — |
| v1 | v1-engine | 2026-05-13 11:29 | 13,135 | 5% (620/13135) | 77% | A$974,234 | +A$67,136 | +A$108.28 |
Log
No outcomes logged yet. Click log a new outcome after your first transaction — even rough numbers are useful for calibration.